Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 5.678242 6.477426 7.359635 8.407539 9.620666 10.983657 12.634928
2025-04-06 4.555658 5.578878 6.798828 8.367144 10.339327 12.749521 15.937010
2025-04-13 3.845975 4.958866 6.362533 8.275736 10.835297 14.169051 18.885049
2025-04-20 3.471986 4.670930 6.255270 8.522985 11.719562 16.115200 22.704768
2025-04-27 3.164619 4.414656 6.133822 8.700746 12.487541 17.948935 26.568357
2025-05-04 2.959295 4.265071 6.126797 9.015439 13.458066 20.153112 31.237403
2025-05-11 2.644536 3.918184 5.790578 8.792796 13.578572 21.070519 34.003287
2025-05-18 2.405682 3.656332 5.547776 8.674694 13.829264 22.192912 37.213802
2025-05-25 2.206258 3.433228 5.338269 8.578704 14.090917 23.341938 40.592675
2025-06-01 2.021977 3.215395 5.113760 8.429177 14.236265 24.294798 43.726623
2025-06-08 1.853683 3.007527 4.884667 8.244671 14.293244 25.086089 46.646677
2025-06-15 1.801986 2.987047 4.961963 8.591834 15.322559 27.726728 53.430283
2025-06-22 1.709056 2.890404 4.904075 8.698604 15.934456 29.685194 59.194715
2025-06-29 1.600225 2.756835 4.769866 8.651910 16.250256 31.110655 64.070554
2025-07-06 1.494993 2.620632 4.618559 8.556541 16.457409 32.338147 68.691478
2025-07-13 1.449023 2.587342 4.650426 8.812917 17.389011 35.143356 77.202502
2025-07-20 1.396678 2.537629 4.646701 8.997295 18.190598 37.767918 85.700729
2025-07-27 1.365539 2.524941 4.711283 9.323747 19.324778 41.246530 96.772199
2025-08-03 1.271126 2.383466 4.514744 9.092780 19.227118 41.965895 101.171161
2025-08-10 1.196751 2.275622 4.376047 8.970270 19.355384 43.214314 107.103463
2025-08-17 1.130753 2.179573 4.253488 8.870702 19.523928 44.574739 113.541617
2025-08-24 1.064261 2.077810 4.111544 8.715608 19.546841 45.585861 119.198065
2025-08-31 0.999336 1.974795 3.959434 8.524247 19.463711 46.324968 124.218448